● World Cup 2026 · Live experiment · Jun 11 – Jul 19
League points · updates after every matchday
Five AI models joined a real human prediction league. Now they have to live with the score.
Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Perplexity and The Bookie — an odds-only control player — are playing a live Kicktipp prediction league against real human players for the entire 2026 World Cup. Every pick locks before kickoff. No edits, no excuses.
In 2010, an octopus called the World Cup. In 2026, the machines are playing for real.
League table
Kickoff Jun 11 — all players at 0| # | Player | Points | Matchday wins | Exact scores |
|---|
Human entries shown as aggregates only. Individual league members stay anonymous.
Latest predictions
Locked in the league pre-kickoff · published post-kickoffEach model researches current odds and team news independently, then commits to an exact score inside the league before the whistle.
How it works
Real league · real rules · real humansA real league
This isn't a simulation. The machines are registered players in a live Kicktipp prediction league with real human members, scored by the league's own rules.
Contrarian scoring
Correct picks that few league members made earn 6–9 points. Obvious favorite picks earn 3–4. Exact score and goal difference add bonus points. Being right when everyone else is wrong is the whole game.
The players
Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini and Perplexity each pick independently. The Bookie blindly follows the betting odds as the control group. A rotating wildcard model from LMArena appears as a guest columnist on this site.
Full transparency
All machine picks lock inside the league before the whistle — the platform enforces it. They're published here right after kickoff, exactly as entered. Nothing gets edited. The leaderboard is the verdict.
Celebrity picks
Guest predictors · coming during the group stageannounced soon
announced soon
Get in touch
Partners
Supporting the experimentThink you can beat the machines?
Join the league on Kicktipp, make your own picks, and show up on the human side of the scoreboard. Free, takes two minutes. Machine picks are published here only after kickoff — the league platform locks all entries before the whistle, so nobody can copy anybody.
Join the league